Leaving aside Sargent’s error in writing the letter.
This is not rocket science. Help me out here.
There are maybe three general groupings that the letters could have come from (and it could have been from one or more of them)
- Trevor Sargent’s Office
- The Gardai, or sources close to the Gardai, DPP’s office or sources acting on behalf of someone with something to gain from a smack in the face to the Greens. (via Hurt Govt Partner, former member, civil servant or opposition three times removed to protect the source.)
- The Constituent – but did he have a copy of both to give even if he wanted to give them??
Cowen doesn’t like innuendo. Roll on the Docklands report, Moriarity Tribunal. Actually no I don’t think I can last that long.
Kevin Doyle from the Herald says on RTE’s Primetime tonight that he won’t say either way whatever that bloody means. I don’t mean he should tell us where he got them – just perhaps be better at not telling us.
Again the Greens are so shell shocked to have not had time to think about what is going on. Now I’m are they thinking and wondering what they are in the middle of. While Fianna Fáilers come out to patronise them to get them to stay in government.
From Dan Boyle tonight (who some might say is getting us ready for the end.)

Do the Green Party have any dignity left?
I don’t fancy the opposition in government much either by the way in case you are wondering. Feck the lot of them is how I’m thinking at the moment. I wish someone would just govern.

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I wonder if you should include food industry tycoons in the groupings, given Trevor’s GM stance.
The Greens are hopelessly naive about this and Senator Twitter’s ‘I feel the pain’ tweet, just shows how they’re detached. Dignity? They lost their dignity when they got into bed with FF and the rump of the PDs. When Fianna Glas bloomed from the compost of the programme for government, you knew straight away it was toxic and now, like Roman Emperors, they’re eating their own entrails. It has to be the worse government ever?
If you see another “scandal” soon, then you can be sure the opposition is picking off the weak sheep from the flock. I would have thought that it is too risky, surely, for another FF member to be doing this? Perhaps Enda has a big file of sins?
While hapless Cowen was critical on the RTE news tonight, he didn’t seem to have any fire left in his belly, so he knows the endgame is nigh and that he cannot – in the face of these sort of scandals – get to govern properly (giving him the benefit of the doubt on that too!) And – that he actually appeared on the media says that he is deeply worried… as he should be.
The Constituent – but did he have a copy of both to give even if he wanted to give them??
Ditto the Gardai – under what circumstances would they be able to have the letter from Sargent to the constituent?
That thinking led me to believe it was the first option, but word I heard from someone I know working on Kildare St is that the speculation there does not go beyond the prime suspect that has Cowen so defensive.
Dan Boyle’s tweets today ooze regret for what happened. He seems to realise that his tweet last week did for Sargent as much as O’Dea.
“I wish someone would just govern.” Yes, and governing they are: most of these elected reps see governance as residing in the chambers, Dail and Seanad. Hence the screaming row about expenses and Seanad reforms before Christmas. All else is just local patronage.
Dan Boyle’s tweets are like the nuggets of gold we all so desperately want, but here’s the thing: he’s the Wizard behind the curtain.
The denials supported by Trevor et al that FF didn’t leak the letter doesn’t preclude the possibility that it caused it to be leaked.
Given that Willie O’Dea confessed that a garda source gave him damaging (but incorrect) information about a political rival, and given that Willie was forced by the Greens to resign from his ministry, there is at least one person with a motive, an inside source and a track record.